Experts Forecast 2007 U.S. Real Estate Market Trends
Experts Forecast 2007 U.S. Real Estate Market Trends
Modest median price gains in fresh as well as existing houses, a stable rate rate over the 30-year fixed mortgage, decreased housing starts as well as a stable unemployment rate are several of the features of the 2007 housing as forecast offered by major trade group economists as reported by The Inman News.
NAR chief economist David Lereah expects fresh-home sales to fall from 1.07 million units sold in 2006 to 975,000 units in 2007, that is an 8.7% decline. He cites decreased fresh house construction as a huge contributing factor to this change. The median fresh house price of 8,400 in 2006 is expected to increase by 1.3 percent to 1,400 in 2007.
NAR asides predicts that existing house sales figures as for 2006 to end around 6.47 million units, that is an 8.6% decline from 2005. The 2007 as forecast as for existing house sales is 6.43 million units. The median price of existing houses in 2006 was 3,700 as well as is expected to increase 1.7% to 7,500 in 2007.
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Doug Duncan, chief economist as for the Mortgage Bankers Association predicts the rate rates over 30-year fixed mortgages to stay around 6.5 percent, several nevertheless mortgage originations to fall 14% to .1 trillion.
While Lereah predicts that the unemployment rate to stay at 4.7 percent, Duncan takes it higher as well as comprehends it may reach 5.2 percent by midyear 2007. However, he concurs goes along with Lereah in predicting modest house price gains in fresh as well as existing houses as for the coming year.
The housing as forecast of The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) is in line goes along with NAR as well as the Mortgage Bankers Association. According to David Seiders, Chief Economist at NAHB, the year 2007 is about to saw the housing market re-adjust it iself when the housing demand stabilizes, leading to a healthy balance among supply as well as demand.
Looking at the state level, the California Association of Realtors (CAR) projects that the median price of California houses is about to end 2006 around 0,700, as well as is about to decline in 2007 to 0,000 — a 1.7% drop. The number of units sold in California is about to end 2006 around 481,200, as well as is projected to decrease 447,500 in 2007. CAR predicts that the unemployment rate is about to stay around 5.1 percent, although rate rates over the 30-year fixed mortgage may hover around 6.7 percent in 2007.
The fromall housing as forecast as for 2007 created by those 4 major real estate trade groups is not at the entire bad. Home buyers as well as investors planning to go proir goes along with their real estate activities may fare more beneficial goes along with the assist of a nice real estate agent.
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